The increased influence of climate change suggests that, in what regards floods, what is considered a 1-in-100-year event (1% chance of occurring at a location in any given year) today may becoming a 1-in-75 or 1-in-50-year event in the future, Aon's recently released "Real-Time Climate Change" report shows.
"As the world contemplates the current and looming impacts
of climate change, we must examine the effects we are already experiencing
today and the steps that can be taken to start mitigating and preparing right
now," the report reads. As
such, it looks at the natural catastrophe events happening today in the context
of climate change, and highlights ways in which the risk could be mitigated,
focusing on the areas of tropical cyclone, flood, and wildfire. The report
reveals that in the past decade alone, weather-related disasters have resulted
in nearly USD3 trillion in economic damage, accounting for 85% of total natural
peril losses. The figure includes losses caused by perils as tropical cyclones, flooding, and wildfires, all of which
demonstrating a changing behavior that is putting more lives, livelihoods and
property at risk.
In Aon's view, there is a major concern that only about 31%
of these total losses were insurance covered, while there are reasonable
expectations that as such events will become more frequent or intense, assets
exposed to the risks are of increased value. To illustrate the reasons beyond
its expectations, Aon's report analyzes three major events: Tropical Cyclone
Isa, floods that hit Europe and Asia this year, in July and the extreme
wildfires in the US.
For Europe, the flash flooding in Western Europe, primarily
Germany, Belgium, and the Netherlands that occurred in mid-July "rewrote
history books by setting new records for the costliest catastrophe events for
the local insurance sectors. Among others, the event showed once again that
even in countries with a high insurance coverage of the weather risks, the
insurance take-up is uneven across different regions, leaving some of them with
a large insurance gap.
Also, while the global debate on how strong the climate
change contribution to the increased frequency and severity of several types of
natural hazards is still ongoing, extreme temperatures, heavy rainfall and
draught are the three risks for which the climate change influence is
considered the strongest and rather unarguable.
Read the full report here.